Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.110786 1.344341 1.642253 2.062043 2.659671 3.517749 4.925226
2025-12-14 0.784578 1.032324 1.393948 1.998752 3.081478 5.205126 10.801767
2025-12-21 0.627454 0.868971 1.253182 1.977103 3.527094 7.585116 26.984373
2025-12-28 0.557705 0.807842 1.237983 2.147627 4.508527 13.487698 169.642920
2026-01-04 0.498075 0.745221 1.195459 2.238124 5.437491 23.657112 NaN
2026-01-11 0.444003 0.679405 1.126102 2.232476 6.117391 39.386636 NaN
2026-01-18 0.396791 0.616821 1.046668 2.165381 6.534440 62.548183 NaN
2026-01-25 0.366538 0.580113 1.011565 2.202562 7.527490 143.776049 NaN
2026-02-01 0.344952 0.556115 0.997855 2.297273 9.104743 708.557578 NaN
2026-02-08 0.320324 0.522584 0.955449 2.284346 10.095140 11867.181794 NaN
2026-02-15 0.296008 0.486671 0.900867 2.209416 10.553927 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.283093 0.472152 0.894496 2.303882 12.924724 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.267121 0.449976 0.866555 2.312766 14.737221 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.250009 0.423744 0.824396 2.250498 15.629903 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.236283 0.403347 0.794133 2.226960 17.238451 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.231674 0.401929 0.813372 2.431090 25.094719 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.224105 0.393169 0.811156 2.539870 33.449027 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.213986 0.377741 0.787771 2.533090 38.967353 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.202892 0.359207 0.752976 2.452480 40.868107 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.195849 0.349299 0.741797 2.497125 51.998440 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.190860 0.343644 0.742256 2.611148 76.776866 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.183467 0.331795 0.722393 2.595561 92.335270 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.175143 0.317200 0.692423 2.505363 95.346363 NaN NaN